Clearly there is a group, particularly those in urban places that are thriving and revitalizing, who believe great well planned cities with streetcars, transit and inter-city rail, can both be great for development, energy independence, business, as well as the environment. This group is not represented by the Republicans or the Libertarians who tend to favor government subsidy of suburban sprawl to the detriment of our cities.
So as a large segment of the Tea Party Movement moves to reform the Republican Party, I expect there will be a remaining group who just does not see a home there and will be seeking an alternative, and yet they do not favor the radical solutions of the Democratic Party to the issues of their concern.
Such a third party destroying the Democratic Party, as it now exists would not be seen as necessarily a negative thing to fiscal conservatives who no longer see that party as caring anything at all of this issue in favor of large federal government takeover of party of our economy.
I predict there will be a significant number of Independents elected to office this fall, and this group, although caucausing with the major parties on an issue by issue basis, will likely divide into three parties with significant voices and forcing the major parties to consider their policy issues.
At some point one or two of them will grow stronger, either forcing one of the two parties to fundamentally change, or possibly be displaced in the next couple of elections.
I expect this will occur as there will be candidates that simply can not win in historically Democratic districts as Republicans and vice versa. This will result in a lot of Independent candidates, who might even run in the primaries of the majors in districts where this is necessary.
I do not expect either party to respond to this group of Americans who although having in common fiscally conservative views and wanting less federal control, still believe in a variety of solutions at the state level beyond what are represented by either party. You see these plans and solutions regularly at the city level, many being implemented and successful, and yet the Federal government seems oblivious to these changes of real people in real places.
]]>One group is asking for input regarding the possibility of supporting the GOOOH.com third party initiative.
If some of you could comment on my thoughts I would appreciate your perspective.
I am opposed to an effort to develop a third party at this time. My conclusion is based on the prioritization of what I see as critial threats, especially where likely achievable goals exist to address those threats.
Our countries fiscal liabilities (debt) strike me as a critical threat (See David Walker - P. G. Peterson Foundation). The following recommendation is intended to restore some “check and balance” to begin to address this problem. It is not an end game solution but rather an achievable start.
The 2010 election cycle is our chance to break one party rule at the Federal level (Brown’s win was a start). I would direct a great deal of effort and resource at the Senate. From a numbers point of view plus all of the ill will the Senate has fostered it’s made itself quite vulnerable and the goal more achievable.
If we accomplish this I assume the parties will do what comes natural and oppose each other. It shouldn’t be too hard to further reinforce that fiscal responsibility is the clear intent of “the people”.
I think we have a secondary opportunity which merits consideration. I believe there are a lot of professional party types watching to see if we can organize and sustain ourselves. I don’t believe Scott Brown’s win is enough to convince either party we had an effect. I suspect we will have to provide a continued stream of “surprises” to drive home the reality that we are here to stay. Again on that note my tactic guards against overreaching and potential failure.
Choose which battles to fight, win the war. Huza!
Again I appreciate your thoughts.
]]>If the TEA Party movement simply endorses one political party over another, it will have proved its insanity…
It’s about giving the country back to the people…vetting and selecting candidates that are not owned by lobbyist or unions or healthcare…
If that “best candidate” is a republican than he gets the nomination….If it is a conservative Democrat with a sensible and intelligent non-partisan voting record than he/she gets the nomination….
The TEA PARTY Movement isn’t a Republican campaign platform….it is the peoples platform!
So now the question becomes….If we run a slate of republicans….will the republicans nominate them too….or will the republicans split the vote?
]]>First the GOP, as it will be easier.
If you have not become active at your local level, please do so. There are many unfilled precinct chairs out there. Go fill them.
The entrenched progressives in the democrat party will prove much harder to dislodge.
At this time in our history, a 3rd party would mean the destruction of our great nation.
]]>Good Comments. While I think many online discussions might be fractured, I don’t think you will find this among the real groups doing the real work at the city and state level.
This is where the leaders will come from and I expect as coalitions of successful city or state focused organizations continue to work together national leaders or spokespersons will emerge.
]]>I expect there will be more than expected independent candidates who win ( who can caucus together ). I expect there will also be a lot of candidates who win thru the Republican primary system in places where they would otherwise be spoliers.
In the 112th Congress that is likely to be rather balanced, such small Caucuses will still have substantial power to push for reform.
A third party can start quietly and gain momentum if the majors remain clueless. And to say again the smartest decisions made by such a third party, no matter how informally it might be organized, is when not to run.
If a third party wins a few seats, but avoids helping their obvious opposition to win by not running/supporting spoiler candidates, it can quickly gain influence and respect of the people.
Massachusetts is a great example of where not to run/support a third party candidate if you believe in fiscal conservatism.
]]>Your average person is not going to care about a 3rd party. Keep the tea party movement as a driving force but not as a formal party.
]]>According to this article, the GOP has already BECOME that third party:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2010/01/some_advice_for_the_republican.html
“In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP.
Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.”
So apparently, it should not be US begging for help from the GOP, only the other way around. The only catch is, it takes real leadership to keep the momentum going and pull it off, and so far, that’s no where to be found.
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